Showing posts with label deflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deflation. Show all posts

Saturday, September 11, 2010

Dangerous Economic Misconceptions:

http://stockmarketchartanalyst.blogspot.com/

I won't be posting my usual fundamental and technical analysis of the S&P 500's daily and weekly charts this weekend for a couple of reasons...The first is, we have family visiting from far away, and creating and posting my charts takes many hours...And secondly, what's the point?...

If you've been following my blog lately, I've been harping on how corrupt the market has become lately, and how much more difficult it is to predict near terms movements because of this...The mainstream media/propaganda machine and bogus government economic reports were in full force again this week...So it's no surprise that the market went UP!...Here is just one example of a bogus economic report put out by the gubbermint this week...The weekly jobless claims numbers were "estimated" because numerous states didn't report their numbers to the BLM because of the Labor Day holiday!...So what did the gubbermint do?...They LIED/FUDGED the numbers as usual:

Nine States Did Not File Initial Claims Data Due To Labor Day, Hundreds Of Thousands Of Estimates In Data "Beat"

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/nine-states-did-not-file-initial-claims-data-due-labor-day-hundreds-thousands-estimates-data

So you can see that the powers that be are doing all they can to make the market rally again, even though there is no real reason for it to do so...IMO

And this article backs up everything I've been saying for months now...It took me a number of hours to read the entire story yesterday...And by that, I mean also reading every story included in it, because there are numerous links in this article that verify the paragraph written above it...These are the kinds of TRUTHS you will NOT hear from the mainstream media/gubbermint propaganda machine!...

In my humble opinion, this has to be one of the top ten articles I've read so far this YEAR!...And I highly encourage you to take the time and read the whole article, and also follow every link below every paragraph so you can verify that what the author has written is the TRUTH...

http://neithercorp.us/npress/?p=748

Please! SHARE this to all you Friends on numerous Social Media sites, using the "Bookmark" button below...

And also...Take a few moments out of your day to remember the thousands of lives lost in the attack on the World Trade Center that happened nine years ago today...September 11, 2001



Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Volcker: Reconsidering Basic Tenets of Financial Theory:

http://stockmarketchartanalyst.blogspot.com/2010/06/volcker-reconsidering-basic-tenets-of.html

Today’s must read media piece comes from former Fed Chair Paul Volcker, in the NY Review of Books:

“Some five years ago, at a conference of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, I lamented that “the growing imbalances, disequilibria, risks” were giving rise to “circumstances as dangerous and intractable” as any I could recall—intractable not just because of the combination of complicated issues, but because there seemed to be “so little willingness or capacity to do much about it.”

That is merely the intro. It takes a few paragraphs for Paul to work up a good head of steam — the man who broke the back of inflation isn’t holding back:

“Has the contribution of the modern world of finance to economic growth become so critical as to support remuneration to its participants beyond any earlier experience and expectations? Does the past profitability of and the value added by the financial industry really now justify profits amounting to as much as 35 to 40 percent of all profits by all US corporations? Can the truly enormous rise in the use of derivatives, complicated options, and highly structured financial instruments really have made a parallel contribution to economic efficiency? If so, does analysis of economic growth and productivity over the past decade or so indicate visible acceleration of growth or benefits flowing down to the average American worker who even before the crisis had enjoyed no increase in real income?

There was one great growth industry. Private debt relative to GDP nearly tripled in thirty years. Credit default swaps, invented little more than a decade ago, soared at their peak to a $60 trillion market, exceeding by a large multiple the amount of the underlying credits potentially hedged against default. Add to those specifics the opacity that accompanied the enormous complexity of such transactions.

The nature and depth of the financial crisis is forcing us to reconsider some of the basic tenets of financial theory. To my way of thinking, that is both necessary and promising in pointing toward useful reform.”

Nice to see Paul is not giving up his fight to get the financial sector back on a leash...



http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/06/volcker-2/

Source:

‘The Time We Have Is Growing Short' by Paul Volcker
NY Review of Books, June 24, 2010
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2010/jun/24/time-we-have-growing-short/